Model Parameters | ||
CO2 spike size | ||
CH4 spike size | ||
Climate sensitivity | deg C for doubling CO2 | |
Efficacy of CH4 radiative forcing | ||
Deep ocean overturning time | years |
Year | pCO2 | pCH4 |
---|---|---|
0 | 280 | 1.6 |
1 | 280.562 | 2.038 |
2 | 280.61 | 1.989 |
3 | 280.656 | 1.943 |
4 | 280.697 | 1.901 |
5 | 280.733 | 1.864 |
6 | 280.765 | 1.832 |
7 | 280.793 | 1.803 |
8 | 280.817 | 1.778 |
9 | 280.839 | 1.756 |
10 | 280.857 | 1.736 |
11 | 280.874 | 1.719 |
12 | 280.888 | 1.704 |
13 | 280.9 | 1.691 |
14 | 280.911 | 1.679 |
15 | 280.92 | 1.669 |
16 | 280.928 | 1.661 |
17 | 280.935 | 1.653 |
18 | 280.94 | 1.646 |
19 | 280.945 | 1.64 |
20 | 280.95 | 1.635 |
21 | 280.953 | 1.631 |
22 | 280.956 | 1.627 |
23 | 280.959 | 1.624 |
24 | 280.961 | 1.621 |
25 | 280.963 | 1.618 |
26 | 280.965 | 1.616 |
27 | 280.966 | 1.614 |
28 | 280.967 | 1.612 |
29 | 280.967 | 1.611 |
30 | 280.968 | 1.609 |
31 | 280.968 | 1.608 |
32 | 280.969 | 1.607 |
33 | 280.969 | 1.606 |
34 | 280.969 | 1.605 |
35 | 280.969 | 1.605 |
36 | 280.968 | 1.604 |
37 | 280.968 | 1.604 |
38 | 280.968 | 1.603 |
39 | 280.967 | 1.603 |
40 | 280.967 | 1.602 |
41 | 280.967 | 1.602 |
42 | 280.966 | 1.602 |
43 | 280.966 | 1.602 |
44 | 280.965 | 1.601 |
45 | 280.964 | 1.601 |
46 | 280.964 | 1.601 |
47 | 280.963 | 1.601 |
48 | 280.963 | 1.601 |
49 | 280.962 | 1.601 |
50 | 280.961 | 1.601 |
51 | 280.961 | 1.601 |
52 | 280.96 | 1.6 |
53 | 280.959 | 1.6 |
54 | 280.959 | 1.6 |
55 | 280.958 | 1.6 |
56 | 280.957 | 1.6 |
57 | 280.956 | 1.6 |
58 | 280.956 | 1.6 |
59 | 280.955 | 1.6 |
60 | 280.954 | 1.6 |
61 | 280.954 | 1.6 |
62 | 280.953 | 1.6 |
63 | 280.952 | 1.6 |
64 | 280.951 | 1.6 |
65 | 280.951 | 1.6 |
66 | 280.95 | 1.6 |
67 | 280.949 | 1.6 |
68 | 280.949 | 1.6 |
69 | 280.948 | 1.6 |
70 | 280.947 | 1.6 |
71 | 280.946 | 1.6 |
72 | 280.946 | 1.6 |
73 | 280.945 | 1.6 |
74 | 280.944 | 1.6 |
75 | 280.944 | 1.6 |
76 | 280.943 | 1.6 |
77 | 280.942 | 1.6 |
78 | 280.941 | 1.6 |
79 | 280.941 | 1.6 |
80 | 280.94 | 1.6 |
81 | 280.939 | 1.6 |
82 | 280.938 | 1.6 |
83 | 280.938 | 1.6 |
84 | 280.937 | 1.6 |
85 | 280.936 | 1.6 |
86 | 280.936 | 1.6 |
87 | 280.935 | 1.6 |
88 | 280.934 | 1.6 |
89 | 280.933 | 1.6 |
90 | 280.933 | 1.6 |
91 | 280.932 | 1.6 |
92 | 280.931 | 1.6 |
93 | 280.931 | 1.6 |
94 | 280.93 | 1.6 |
95 | 280.929 | 1.6 |
96 | 280.928 | 1.6 |
97 | 280.928 | 1.6 |
98 | 280.927 | 1.6 |
99 | 280.926 | 1.6 |
100 | 280.926 | 1.6 |
Year | pCO2 | pCH4 |
---|---|---|
0 | 280 | 1.6 |
1 | 280.562 | 2.038 |
2 | 280.61 | 1.989 |
3 | 280.656 | 1.943 |
4 | 280.697 | 1.901 |
5 | 280.733 | 1.864 |
6 | 280.765 | 1.832 |
7 | 280.793 | 1.803 |
8 | 280.817 | 1.778 |
9 | 280.839 | 1.756 |
10 | 280.857 | 1.736 |
11 | 280.874 | 1.719 |
12 | 280.888 | 1.704 |
13 | 280.9 | 1.691 |
14 | 280.911 | 1.679 |
15 | 280.92 | 1.669 |
16 | 280.928 | 1.661 |
17 | 280.935 | 1.653 |
18 | 280.94 | 1.646 |
19 | 280.945 | 1.64 |
20 | 280.95 | 1.635 |
21 | 280.953 | 1.631 |
22 | 280.956 | 1.627 |
23 | 280.959 | 1.624 |
24 | 280.961 | 1.621 |
25 | 280.963 | 1.618 |
26 | 280.965 | 1.616 |
27 | 280.966 | 1.614 |
28 | 280.967 | 1.612 |
29 | 280.967 | 1.611 |
30 | 280.968 | 1.609 |
31 | 280.968 | 1.608 |
32 | 280.969 | 1.607 |
33 | 280.969 | 1.606 |
34 | 280.969 | 1.605 |
35 | 280.969 | 1.605 |
36 | 280.968 | 1.604 |
37 | 280.968 | 1.604 |
38 | 280.968 | 1.603 |
39 | 280.967 | 1.603 |
40 | 280.967 | 1.602 |
41 | 280.967 | 1.602 |
42 | 280.966 | 1.602 |
43 | 280.966 | 1.602 |
44 | 280.965 | 1.601 |
45 | 280.964 | 1.601 |
46 | 280.964 | 1.601 |
47 | 280.963 | 1.601 |
48 | 280.963 | 1.601 |
49 | 280.962 | 1.601 |
50 | 280.961 | 1.601 |
51 | 280.961 | 1.601 |
52 | 280.96 | 1.6 |
53 | 280.959 | 1.6 |
54 | 280.959 | 1.6 |
55 | 280.958 | 1.6 |
56 | 280.957 | 1.6 |
57 | 280.956 | 1.6 |
58 | 280.956 | 1.6 |
59 | 280.955 | 1.6 |
60 | 280.954 | 1.6 |
61 | 280.954 | 1.6 |
62 | 280.953 | 1.6 |
63 | 280.952 | 1.6 |
64 | 280.951 | 1.6 |
65 | 280.951 | 1.6 |
66 | 280.95 | 1.6 |
67 | 280.949 | 1.6 |
68 | 280.949 | 1.6 |
69 | 280.948 | 1.6 |
70 | 280.947 | 1.6 |
71 | 280.946 | 1.6 |
72 | 280.946 | 1.6 |
73 | 280.945 | 1.6 |
74 | 280.944 | 1.6 |
75 | 280.944 | 1.6 |
76 | 280.943 | 1.6 |
77 | 280.942 | 1.6 |
78 | 280.941 | 1.6 |
79 | 280.941 | 1.6 |
80 | 280.94 | 1.6 |
81 | 280.939 | 1.6 |
82 | 280.938 | 1.6 |
83 | 280.938 | 1.6 |
84 | 280.937 | 1.6 |
85 | 280.936 | 1.6 |
86 | 280.936 | 1.6 |
87 | 280.935 | 1.6 |
88 | 280.934 | 1.6 |
89 | 280.933 | 1.6 |
90 | 280.933 | 1.6 |
91 | 280.932 | 1.6 |
92 | 280.931 | 1.6 |
93 | 280.931 | 1.6 |
94 | 280.93 | 1.6 |
95 | 280.929 | 1.6 |
96 | 280.928 | 1.6 |
97 | 280.928 | 1.6 |
98 | 280.927 | 1.6 |
99 | 280.926 | 1.6 |
100 | 280.926 | 1.6 |
Year | Warming from CO2 | Warming from CH4 |
---|---|---|
0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 0.001 | 0.029 |
2 | 0.002 | 0.051 |
3 | 0.002 | 0.067 |
4 | 0.003 | 0.079 |
5 | 0.004 | 0.087 |
6 | 0.004 | 0.091 |
7 | 0.005 | 0.093 |
8 | 0.005 | 0.093 |
9 | 0.006 | 0.092 |
10 | 0.006 | 0.09 |
11 | 0.007 | 0.086 |
12 | 0.007 | 0.082 |
13 | 0.007 | 0.078 |
14 | 0.008 | 0.073 |
15 | 0.008 | 0.069 |
16 | 0.008 | 0.064 |
17 | 0.008 | 0.06 |
18 | 0.009 | 0.055 |
19 | 0.009 | 0.051 |
20 | 0.009 | 0.047 |
21 | 0.009 | 0.043 |
22 | 0.009 | 0.039 |
23 | 0.009 | 0.036 |
24 | 0.01 | 0.033 |
25 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
26 | 0.01 | 0.027 |
27 | 0.01 | 0.025 |
28 | 0.01 | 0.022 |
29 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
30 | 0.01 | 0.018 |
31 | 0.01 | 0.017 |
32 | 0.01 | 0.015 |
33 | 0.01 | 0.013 |
34 | 0.01 | 0.012 |
35 | 0.01 | 0.011 |
36 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
37 | 0.01 | 0.009 |
38 | 0.01 | 0.008 |
39 | 0.01 | 0.007 |
40 | 0.01 | 0.007 |
41 | 0.01 | 0.006 |
42 | 0.01 | 0.005 |
43 | 0.01 | 0.005 |
44 | 0.01 | 0.004 |
45 | 0.01 | 0.004 |
46 | 0.01 | 0.004 |
47 | 0.01 | 0.003 |
48 | 0.01 | 0.003 |
49 | 0.01 | 0.003 |
50 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
51 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
52 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
53 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
54 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
55 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
56 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
57 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
58 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
59 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
60 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
61 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
62 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
63 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
64 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
65 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
66 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
67 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
68 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
69 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
70 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
71 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
72 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
73 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
74 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
75 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
76 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
77 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
78 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
79 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
80 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
81 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
82 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
83 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
84 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
85 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
86 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
87 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
88 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
89 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
90 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
91 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
92 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
93 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
94 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
95 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
96 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
97 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
98 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
99 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
100 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
Year | Warming from CO2 | Warming from CH4 |
---|---|---|
0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 0.001 | 0.029 |
2 | 0.002 | 0.051 |
3 | 0.002 | 0.067 |
4 | 0.003 | 0.079 |
5 | 0.004 | 0.087 |
6 | 0.004 | 0.091 |
7 | 0.005 | 0.093 |
8 | 0.005 | 0.093 |
9 | 0.006 | 0.092 |
10 | 0.006 | 0.09 |
11 | 0.007 | 0.086 |
12 | 0.007 | 0.082 |
13 | 0.007 | 0.078 |
14 | 0.008 | 0.073 |
15 | 0.008 | 0.069 |
16 | 0.008 | 0.064 |
17 | 0.008 | 0.06 |
18 | 0.009 | 0.055 |
19 | 0.009 | 0.051 |
20 | 0.009 | 0.047 |
21 | 0.009 | 0.043 |
22 | 0.009 | 0.039 |
23 | 0.009 | 0.036 |
24 | 0.01 | 0.033 |
25 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
26 | 0.01 | 0.027 |
27 | 0.01 | 0.025 |
28 | 0.01 | 0.022 |
29 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
30 | 0.01 | 0.018 |
31 | 0.01 | 0.017 |
32 | 0.01 | 0.015 |
33 | 0.01 | 0.013 |
34 | 0.01 | 0.012 |
35 | 0.01 | 0.011 |
36 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
37 | 0.01 | 0.009 |
38 | 0.01 | 0.008 |
39 | 0.01 | 0.007 |
40 | 0.01 | 0.007 |
41 | 0.01 | 0.006 |
42 | 0.01 | 0.005 |
43 | 0.01 | 0.005 |
44 | 0.01 | 0.004 |
45 | 0.01 | 0.004 |
46 | 0.01 | 0.004 |
47 | 0.01 | 0.003 |
48 | 0.01 | 0.003 |
49 | 0.01 | 0.003 |
50 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
51 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
52 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
53 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
54 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
55 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
56 | 0.01 | 0.002 |
57 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
58 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
59 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
60 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
61 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
62 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
63 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
64 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
65 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
66 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
67 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
68 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
69 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
70 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
71 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
72 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
73 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
74 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
75 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
76 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
77 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
78 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
79 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
80 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
81 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
82 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
83 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
84 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
85 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
86 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
87 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
88 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
89 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
90 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
91 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
92 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
93 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
94 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
95 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
96 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
97 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
98 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
99 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
100 | 0.01 | 0.001 |
Model Output over 100 years | |||
Energy Yield From Fossil Fuel Joules | Energy Trapped Time Int. Rad. Forc. Joules | Warming Time Integrated Deg. C * Years | |
from CO2 | 3.75e+19 | 3.05e+22 | 9.39e-1 |
from CH4 | 7.41e+19 | 5.76e+22 | 1.92e+0 |